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Crown Green Handicap

Kevin O'Hara

Team: Lane Ends BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

729

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

8

Matches Played

2

Wins

6

Losses

25%

Win Rate

9.0

Avg Win Margin

11.0

Avg Loss Margin

0-3

Home Record

2-3

Away Record

4%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
8 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/5/2026

Only 8 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 8 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

22 Jul29 Jul5 Aug19 Aug26 Aug14 Apr28 Apr5 May-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.20
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.0
score-0.50→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
779
score-0.77→contribution-0.08
Weighted Score-0.361
Sample Size Confidence
4%(8/41 matches)
Rating892 → shrunk 996→ adjusted 721
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)792
Recency Blend11% (8 recent matches)
Final Rating729
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W6L8 matches·25% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends B2025–2026Division 241325%
Lane Ends C2025Division 341325%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/5/2026Colin JonesH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Peter SteelA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Dave RogersA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Craig PunshonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Brian MatthewsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025Graham OwenA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2025Callum RothwellH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Keith WalshA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1025% win rate— steady
LWLLLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Colin Jones0110%5/5/2026
Peter Steel101100%4/28/2026
Dave Rogers0110%4/14/2026
Craig Punshon0110%8/26/2025
Brian Matthews0110%8/19/2025
Graham Owen101100%8/5/2025
Callum Rothwell0110%7/29/2025
Keith Walsh0110%7/22/2025
Biggest Win
Peter Steel (+9)4/28/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Colin Jones (-14)5/5/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
25% → 25%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7798 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-625% win rate

By Division

Division 21-3 (25%)
Division 31-3 (25%)
Division 225%
1W·3L·4 played
Division 325%
1W·3L·4 played

Debut

Jul 22, 2025

Latest

May 5, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (9 mo span)

Matches / Season

4.0 (8 total)

Seasons

20252026